Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models points to a daily maximum of 24°C in Moscow on June 5 under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with recent observational data showing a 24.3°C peak on June 4 and typical early-June climatology near 22°C, with minimal day-to-day variability expected. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 24°C reflects high confidence in the model consensus and official monitoring thresholds, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement uncertainty or localized microclimate effects. An unexpected cold front or revised observational adjustment could still shift the recorded high, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 5?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$98,732 Vol.
$98,732 Vol.
5 giu 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$98,732 Vol.
$98,732 Vol.
5 giu 2026
18°C or below
$1,190 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,990 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,534 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,767 Vol.
No
22°C
$10,018 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,993 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,450 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$10,502 Vol.
No
26°C
$18,425 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,677 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$9,186 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models points to a daily maximum of 24°C in Moscow on June 5 under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with recent observational data showing a 24.3°C peak on June 4 and typical early-June climatology near 22°C, with minimal day-to-day variability expected. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 24°C reflects high confidence in the model consensus and official monitoring thresholds, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement uncertainty or localized microclimate effects. An unexpected cold front or revised observational adjustment could still shift the recorded high, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Volume
$98,732Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models points to a daily maximum of 24°C in Moscow on June 5 under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with recent observational data showing a 24.3°C peak on June 4 and typical early-June climatology near 22°C, with minimal day-to-day variability expected. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 24°C reflects high confidence in the model consensus and official monitoring thresholds, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement uncertainty or localized microclimate effects. An unexpected cold front or revised observational adjustment could still shift the recorded high, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98,732Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models points to a daily maximum of 24°C in Moscow on June 5 under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with recent observational data showing a 24.3°C peak on June 4 and typical early-June climatology near 22°C, with minimal day-to-day variability expected. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 24°C reflects high confidence in the model consensus and official monitoring thresholds, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement uncertainty or localized microclimate effects. An unexpected cold front or revised observational adjustment could still shift the recorded high, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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