National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on May 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 23?
56-57°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$80,156 Vol.
$80,156 Vol.
23 mag 2026
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$80,156 Vol.
$80,156 Vol.
23 mag 2026
45°F or below
$10,702 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,499 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,173 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,720 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$3,401 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$9,505 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$19,363 Vol.
Yes
58-59°F
$9,754 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$8,744 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$7,000 Vol.
No
64°F or higher
$6,292 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$80,156Data di fine
23 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$80,156Data di fine
23 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service forecasts and observational data confirm a daily maximum near 57°F at LaGuardia Airport on May 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, cool onshore Atlantic flow, and scattered showers that sharply limited solar heating. These conditions produced readings well below the late-May climatological average of about 73°F, aligning trader consensus at near-certainty on the 56-57°F outcome. Model runs showed strong agreement with minimal spread, while real-capital positioning reflects high confidence in the suppressed thermal profile. An unexpected rapid clearing or stronger southerly advection could have nudged readings into the upper 50s, though current atmospheric patterns made such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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