Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on May 31?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 31?
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$101,127 Vol.
$101,127 Vol.
31 mag 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$101,127 Vol.
$101,127 Vol.
31 mag 2026
67°F or below
$3,967 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,168 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$7,607 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$20,955 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$16,307 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$22,873 Vol.
Yes
78-79°F
$13,502 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$8,711 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$3,802 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,185 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$1,050 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$101,127Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101,127Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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