Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 17, driven by official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's designated resolution source, which recorded a peak of 33°C under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with April climatology in Panama City, Panama, where tropical conditions and Pacific influences typically yield highs of 31–33°C, supported by consistent hourly METAR reports showing steady daytime heating without convective interference. While airport automated surface observing systems (ASOS) provide high-confidence data, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C. Final National Meteorological Service validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Panama City il 17 aprile?
33°C 100.0%
28°C o inferiore <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,327 Vol.
$27,327 Vol.
28°C o inferiore
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Sì
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C o superiore
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C o inferiore <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,327 Vol.
$27,327 Vol.
28°C o inferiore
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Sì
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at a 100% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 17, driven by official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG), the market's designated resolution source, which recorded a peak of 33°C under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. This aligns with April climatology in Panama City, Panama, where tropical conditions and Pacific influences typically yield highs of 31–33°C, supported by consistent hourly METAR reports showing steady daytime heating without convective interference. While airport automated surface observing systems (ASOS) provide high-confidence data, realistic challenges could arise from rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C. Final National Meteorological Service validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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