Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the authoritative source for this market under Météo-France oversight, recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on May 11, 2026, between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. Persistent low cloud cover, morning rain showers, and northerly winds—steered by a blocking high over northern Europe—limited solar heating and aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 14–16°C highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly observations from automated sensors, with realistic challenges limited to rare data revisions from equipment anomalies or post-audit corrections by monitoring agencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on May 11?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$109,167 Vol.
$109,167 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$109,167 Vol.
$109,167 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 3:59 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the authoritative source for this market under Météo-France oversight, recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on May 11, 2026, between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. Persistent low cloud cover, morning rain showers, and northerly winds—steered by a blocking high over northern Europe—limited solar heating and aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 14–16°C highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly observations from automated sensors, with realistic challenges limited to rare data revisions from equipment anomalies or post-audit corrections by monitoring agencies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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