Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 15°C, driving 100% trader consensus on that outcome as real-money positions align with verified data from Météo-France monitoring networks. Persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles that clustered highs around 15°C amid below-average May conditions (typical highs near 18°C). Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions for sensor anomalies, though standard quality controls make this improbable; market resolution awaits final Météo-France bulletin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on May 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 5?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$170,468 Vol.
$170,468 Vol.
5 mag 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$170,468 Vol.
$170,468 Vol.
5 mag 2026
10°C or below
$1,933 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,248 Vol.
No
12°C
$14,044 Vol.
No
13°C
$16,506 Vol.
No
14°C
$19,203 Vol.
No
15°C
$24,963 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$15,534 Vol.
No
17°C
$28,185 Vol.
No
18°C
$22,215 Vol.
No
19°C
$11,396 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$15,241 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 15°C, driving 100% trader consensus on that outcome as real-money positions align with verified data from Météo-France monitoring networks. Persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles that clustered highs around 15°C amid below-average May conditions (typical highs near 18°C). Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions for sensor anomalies, though standard quality controls make this improbable; market resolution awaits final Météo-France bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$170,468Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 15°C, driving 100% trader consensus on that outcome as real-money positions align with verified data from Météo-France monitoring networks. Persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles that clustered highs around 15°C amid below-average May conditions (typical highs near 18°C). Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions for sensor anomalies, though standard quality controls make this improbable; market resolution awaits final Météo-France bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$170,468Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 15°C, driving 100% trader consensus on that outcome as real-money positions align with verified data from Météo-France monitoring networks. Persistent cloud cover and northerly winds suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles that clustered highs around 15°C amid below-average May conditions (typical highs near 18°C). Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions for sensor anomalies, though standard quality controls make this improbable; market resolution awaits final Météo-France bulletin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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