Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 16 high temperature centers on National Weather Service guidance under rebuilding high pressure aloft that favors subsidence warming but is tempered by marine influence from Puget Sound and possible residual onshore flow. This setup produces ensemble clusters centered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the tight market spread between the 66–69°F bins (combined ~38.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. Model runs show modest spread on peak heating, with drier conditions limiting cloud cover but coastal moderation capping extremes relative to historical July averages near 75°F. Key near-term catalysts include updated NWS forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow greater inland heating or enhanced marine-layer cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Seattle il 16 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Seattle il 16 luglio?
68-69°F 31%
70-71°F 24%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 lug 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80°F o superiore
<1%
68-69°F 31%
70-71°F 24%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 lug 2026
61°F or below
$176 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$236 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$204 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$831 Vol.
18%
68-69°F
$670 Vol.
31%
70-71°F
$210 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$509 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$336 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$59 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,290 Vol.
1%
80°F o superiore
$869 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 16 high temperature centers on National Weather Service guidance under rebuilding high pressure aloft that favors subsidence warming but is tempered by marine influence from Puget Sound and possible residual onshore flow. This setup produces ensemble clusters centered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the tight market spread between the 66–69°F bins (combined ~38.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. Model runs show modest spread on peak heating, with drier conditions limiting cloud cover but coastal moderation capping extremes relative to historical July averages near 75°F. Key near-term catalysts include updated NWS forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow greater inland heating or enhanced marine-layer cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,390Data di fine
16 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 16 high temperature centers on National Weather Service guidance under rebuilding high pressure aloft that favors subsidence warming but is tempered by marine influence from Puget Sound and possible residual onshore flow. This setup produces ensemble clusters centered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the tight market spread between the 66–69°F bins (combined ~38.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. Model runs show modest spread on peak heating, with drier conditions limiting cloud cover but coastal moderation capping extremes relative to historical July averages near 75°F. Key near-term catalysts include updated NWS forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow greater inland heating or enhanced marine-layer cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,390Data di fine
16 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle’s July 16 high temperature centers on National Weather Service guidance under rebuilding high pressure aloft that favors subsidence warming but is tempered by marine influence from Puget Sound and possible residual onshore flow. This setup produces ensemble clusters centered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the tight market spread between the 66–69°F bins (combined ~38.5% implied probability) and nearby outcomes. Model runs show modest spread on peak heating, with drier conditions limiting cloud cover but coastal moderation capping extremes relative to historical July averages near 75°F. Key near-term catalysts include updated NWS forecast discussions and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow greater inland heating or enhanced marine-layer cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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