Traders see the tight clustering around 27–30°C for Seoul’s July 18 high temperature as reflecting typical midsummer monsoon conditions and model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Persistent humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers limit daytime heating, keeping most forecasts near the long-term July average of roughly 30°C while preventing extremes above 31°C. Recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing of rain bands, which explains why no single outcome exceeds 24% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as land-sea breeze and precipitation timing become clearer.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul il 18 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul il 18 luglio?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$152,912 Vol.
$152,912 Vol.
18 lug 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$152,912 Vol.
$152,912 Vol.
18 lug 2026
21°C or below
$621 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,689 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,522 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,286 Vol.
No
25°C
$28,985 Vol.
No
26°C
$16,686 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$13,826 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,926 Vol.
No
29°C
$20,338 Vol.
No
30°C
$19,457 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$25,576 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight clustering around 27–30°C for Seoul’s July 18 high temperature as reflecting typical midsummer monsoon conditions and model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Persistent humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers limit daytime heating, keeping most forecasts near the long-term July average of roughly 30°C while preventing extremes above 31°C. Recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing of rain bands, which explains why no single outcome exceeds 24% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as land-sea breeze and precipitation timing become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$152,912Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tight clustering around 27–30°C for Seoul’s July 18 high temperature as reflecting typical midsummer monsoon conditions and model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Persistent humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers limit daytime heating, keeping most forecasts near the long-term July average of roughly 30°C while preventing extremes above 31°C. Recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing of rain bands, which explains why no single outcome exceeds 24% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as land-sea breeze and precipitation timing become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$152,912Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders see the tight clustering around 27–30°C for Seoul’s July 18 high temperature as reflecting typical midsummer monsoon conditions and model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Persistent humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers limit daytime heating, keeping most forecasts near the long-term July average of roughly 30°C while preventing extremes above 31°C. Recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability tied to the timing of rain bands, which explains why no single outcome exceeds 24% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range as land-sea breeze and precipitation timing become clearer.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti