Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$135,589 Vol.
$135,589 Vol.
3 mag 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$135,589 Vol.
$135,589 Vol.
3 mag 2026
17°C or below
$4,373 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,176 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,160 Vol.
No
20°C
$17,631 Vol.
No
21°C
$27,197 Vol.
No
22°C
$29,971 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$16,078 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,730 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,623 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,507 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$4,144 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$135,589Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$135,589Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Shanghai's Central Meteorological Station latest advisory at 11:00 on May 3 forecasts a maximum temperature of 22°C today, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on official observational data from key stations like Xujiahui. Overcast skies and southeast winds at 4-5 levels (gusting to 6 near coast) have suppressed daytime heating, consistent with recent model runs showing limited solar insolation amid lingering cloud cover from prior showers. Historical early-May averages hover around 23°C, but current atmospheric conditions favor stability. Upside risks include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief spikes above 22°C before sunset, though low sun angles and evening cooldown reduce this likelihood; final hourly reports will confirm resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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