Recent model consensus for early July places Shenzhen's maximum temperatures near the long-term July average of 32°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon regime, where high humidity, sea surface temperatures above 28°C in the South China Sea, and daytime heating drive peak readings. Subtle differences between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover timing, afternoon convective showers that can cap surface heating, and steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high. Broader southern China patterns of above-average early-summer rainfall have introduced modest cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 1° luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 1° luglio?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$95,742 Vol.
$95,742 Vol.
1 lug 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$95,742 Vol.
$95,742 Vol.
1 lug 2026
27°C or below
$6,016 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,948 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,169 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,440 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,988 Vol.
No
32°C
$13,110 Vol.
No
33°C
$12,154 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$15,381 Vol.
No
35°C
$12,693 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,023 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,820 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for early July places Shenzhen's maximum temperatures near the long-term July average of 32°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon regime, where high humidity, sea surface temperatures above 28°C in the South China Sea, and daytime heating drive peak readings. Subtle differences between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover timing, afternoon convective showers that can cap surface heating, and steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high. Broader southern China patterns of above-average early-summer rainfall have introduced modest cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$95,742Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for early July places Shenzhen's maximum temperatures near the long-term July average of 32°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon regime, where high humidity, sea surface temperatures above 28°C in the South China Sea, and daytime heating drive peak readings. Subtle differences between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover timing, afternoon convective showers that can cap surface heating, and steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high. Broader southern China patterns of above-average early-summer rainfall have introduced modest cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95,742Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent model consensus for early July places Shenzhen's maximum temperatures near the long-term July average of 32°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon regime, where high humidity, sea surface temperatures above 28°C in the South China Sea, and daytime heating drive peak readings. Subtle differences between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover timing, afternoon convective showers that can cap surface heating, and steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high. Broader southern China patterns of above-average early-summer rainfall have introduced modest cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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