Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 30°C high in Shenzhen on May 8, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts projecting a peak of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid persistent overcast skies and moderate to heavy rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong. Morning observations report mid-20s°C with high humidity (around 89%) and scattered showers, suppressing solar heating in line with recent convective outbreaks that capped prior days near 30°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover at 29.5°C. A realistic upset to 31°C or higher would require unexpected afternoon clearing for prolonged insolation, though strengthening rain bands make this improbable; hourly airport readings will track developments into evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 8?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$67,718 Vol.
$67,718 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$67,718 Vol.
$67,718 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 30°C high in Shenzhen on May 8, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts projecting a peak of 29–30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport amid persistent overcast skies and moderate to heavy rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong. Morning observations report mid-20s°C with high humidity (around 89%) and scattered showers, suppressing solar heating in line with recent convective outbreaks that capped prior days near 30°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover at 29.5°C. A realistic upset to 31°C or higher would require unexpected afternoon clearing for prolonged insolation, though strengthening rain bands make this improbable; hourly airport readings will track developments into evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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