Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo l'11 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo l'11 luglio?
30°C 100%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$57,706 Vol.
$57,706 Vol.
11 lug 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$57,706 Vol.
$57,706 Vol.
11 lug 2026
26°C or below
$1,686 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,991 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,325 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,262 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,629 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$7,603 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,293 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,245 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,603 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,253 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$816 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$57,706Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,706Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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