Recent temperature observations and forecast model consensus from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau point to a daily maximum of 36°C at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's official resolution station. This outcome aligns with early June subtropical conditions, including southerly flow, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings above seasonal averages of 31–33°C. Model runs show minimal spread around this value, supporting the market's near-certain positioning. Minor deviations could arise from exact timing of peak readings or localized variations, though current data indicate low likelihood of shifts outside the 36°C bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 4?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$95,149 Vol.
$95,149 Vol.
4 giu 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$95,149 Vol.
$95,149 Vol.
4 giu 2026
30°C or below
$4,401 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,144 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,191 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,092 Vol.
No
34°C
$15,308 Vol.
No
35°C
$8,900 Vol.
No
36°C
$11,620 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$7,448 Vol.
No
38°C
$13,581 Vol.
No
39°C
$12,334 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$5,129 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent temperature observations and forecast model consensus from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau point to a daily maximum of 36°C at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's official resolution station. This outcome aligns with early June subtropical conditions, including southerly flow, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings above seasonal averages of 31–33°C. Model runs show minimal spread around this value, supporting the market's near-certain positioning. Minor deviations could arise from exact timing of peak readings or localized variations, though current data indicate low likelihood of shifts outside the 36°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$95,149Data di fine
4 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent temperature observations and forecast model consensus from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau point to a daily maximum of 36°C at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's official resolution station. This outcome aligns with early June subtropical conditions, including southerly flow, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings above seasonal averages of 31–33°C. Model runs show minimal spread around this value, supporting the market's near-certain positioning. Minor deviations could arise from exact timing of peak readings or localized variations, though current data indicate low likelihood of shifts outside the 36°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95,149Data di fine
4 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent temperature observations and forecast model consensus from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau point to a daily maximum of 36°C at Taipei Songshan Airport, the market's official resolution station. This outcome aligns with early June subtropical conditions, including southerly flow, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect amplifying readings above seasonal averages of 31–33°C. Model runs show minimal spread around this value, supporting the market's near-certain positioning. Minor deviations could arise from exact timing of peak readings or localized variations, though current data indicate low likelihood of shifts outside the 36°C bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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