Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average maxima reach 30–31°C, yet trader-implied probabilities favor 33°C (55%) and 34°C (31%) due to slight model consensus on warmer afternoon peaks and potential urban heat effects. No significant synoptic changes, such as stronger onshore flow or moisture intrusions, appear imminent before resolution, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C at just 11% while capping upside risk above 35°C. Updated runs from official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble spreads will refine the exact peak ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 25 agosto?
33°C 56%
34°C 31%
32°C 11%
35°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
11%
33°C
56%
34°C
31%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 56%
34°C 31%
32°C 11%
35°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
29°C or below
$27 Vol.
4%
30°C
$44 Vol.
4%
31°C
$144 Vol.
3%
32°C
$95 Vol.
11%
33°C
$167 Vol.
56%
34°C
$73 Vol.
31%
35°C
$36 Vol.
5%
36°C
$10 Vol.
4%
37°C
$12 Vol.
4%
38°C
$5 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average maxima reach 30–31°C, yet trader-implied probabilities favor 33°C (55%) and 34°C (31%) due to slight model consensus on warmer afternoon peaks and potential urban heat effects. No significant synoptic changes, such as stronger onshore flow or moisture intrusions, appear imminent before resolution, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C at just 11% while capping upside risk above 35°C. Updated runs from official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble spreads will refine the exact peak ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$616Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average maxima reach 30–31°C, yet trader-implied probabilities favor 33°C (55%) and 34°C (31%) due to slight model consensus on warmer afternoon peaks and potential urban heat effects. No significant synoptic changes, such as stronger onshore flow or moisture intrusions, appear imminent before resolution, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C at just 11% while capping upside risk above 35°C. Updated runs from official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble spreads will refine the exact peak ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$616Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime highs near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. These conditions align with typical late-August climatology, where average maxima reach 30–31°C, yet trader-implied probabilities favor 33°C (55%) and 34°C (31%) due to slight model consensus on warmer afternoon peaks and potential urban heat effects. No significant synoptic changes, such as stronger onshore flow or moisture intrusions, appear imminent before resolution, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C at just 11% while capping upside risk above 35°C. Updated runs from official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble spreads will refine the exact peak ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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