Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,497 Vol.
$84,497 Vol.
16 giu 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,497 Vol.
$84,497 Vol.
16 giu 2026
21°C or below
$1,773 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,736 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,109 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,825 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,516 Vol.
No
26°C
$14,643 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$9,951 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,600 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,230 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,158 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$1,956 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$84,497Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,497Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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