Official forecasts from Environment Canada highlight periods of rain and a daytime high of 20°C for Toronto on June 22, 2026, as the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering tightly around 20–23°C. This outlook reflects moderating lake breezes off the cooler Great Lakes, increased cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation under weak high pressure, limiting afternoon heating below the seasonal average near 23°C. Recent model guidance shows limited variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns, keeping the distribution of trader probabilities narrow rather than favoring extremes. Minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind direction could still alter peak readings by 1–2°C before resolution based on official station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Toronto on June 22?
20°C or below 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,281 Vol.
$42,281 Vol.
20°C or below
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
20°C or below 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$42,281 Vol.
$42,281 Vol.
20°C or below
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Official forecasts from Environment Canada highlight periods of rain and a daytime high of 20°C for Toronto on June 22, 2026, as the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering tightly around 20–23°C. This outlook reflects moderating lake breezes off the cooler Great Lakes, increased cloud cover, and reduced solar insolation under weak high pressure, limiting afternoon heating below the seasonal average near 23°C. Recent model guidance shows limited variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns, keeping the distribution of trader probabilities narrow rather than favoring extremes. Minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind direction could still alter peak readings by 1–2°C before resolution based on official station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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