Recent forecast models for Wuhan indicate a highest temperature on June 25 most likely in the 28–30°C range, with light rain, thundershowers, and light northerly winds expected to moderate daytime peaks amid ongoing early summer monsoon conditions. This consensus aligns closely with the market's tightly bunched leading outcomes at 29°C (21.5%), 28°C (19.0%), and 30°C (14.0%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance where cloud cover and precipitation timing can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C. Recent days have featured cooler, overcast conditions with highs near 25–28°C, providing a baseline that limits rapid warming potential absent stronger high-pressure influence. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 25?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$79,933 Vol.
$79,933 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$79,933 Vol.
$79,933 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecast models for Wuhan indicate a highest temperature on June 25 most likely in the 28–30°C range, with light rain, thundershowers, and light northerly winds expected to moderate daytime peaks amid ongoing early summer monsoon conditions. This consensus aligns closely with the market's tightly bunched leading outcomes at 29°C (21.5%), 28°C (19.0%), and 30°C (14.0%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance where cloud cover and precipitation timing can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C. Recent days have featured cooler, overcast conditions with highs near 25–28°C, providing a baseline that limits rapid warming potential absent stronger high-pressure influence. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti