Trader consensus has overwhelmingly converged on a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport— the market's official resolution source—reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and daytime peaks of 29–30°C on May 5. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions enabling standard diurnal heating, corroborated by aligned ECMWF and GFS model outputs predicting no significant convective interference or cold air intrusion. Current METAR observations confirm temperatures approaching 28°C midday, with climatological May norms around 27°C but this day's ridge amplifying warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 30°C, though low probability given 24-hour trend stability; monitor hourly airport data for final confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 5?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$86,361 Vol.
$86,361 Vol.
5 mag 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$86,361 Vol.
$86,361 Vol.
5 mag 2026
23°C or below
$618 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,561 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,034 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,795 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,934 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,165 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,092 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,340 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$11,851 Vol.
No
32°C
$12,337 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$12,635 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has overwhelmingly converged on a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport— the market's official resolution source—reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and daytime peaks of 29–30°C on May 5. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions enabling standard diurnal heating, corroborated by aligned ECMWF and GFS model outputs predicting no significant convective interference or cold air intrusion. Current METAR observations confirm temperatures approaching 28°C midday, with climatological May norms around 27°C but this day's ridge amplifying warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 30°C, though low probability given 24-hour trend stability; monitor hourly airport data for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$86,361Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has overwhelmingly converged on a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport— the market's official resolution source—reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and daytime peaks of 29–30°C on May 5. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions enabling standard diurnal heating, corroborated by aligned ECMWF and GFS model outputs predicting no significant convective interference or cold air intrusion. Current METAR observations confirm temperatures approaching 28°C midday, with climatological May norms around 27°C but this day's ridge amplifying warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 30°C, though low probability given 24-hour trend stability; monitor hourly airport data for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$86,361Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has overwhelmingly converged on a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport— the market's official resolution source—reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and daytime peaks of 29–30°C on May 5. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions enabling standard diurnal heating, corroborated by aligned ECMWF and GFS model outputs predicting no significant convective interference or cold air intrusion. Current METAR observations confirm temperatures approaching 28°C midday, with climatological May norms around 27°C but this day's ridge amplifying warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 30°C, though low probability given 24-hour trend stability; monitor hourly airport data for final confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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