**Westerly flow and partial clearing overnight are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–16°C for Amsterdam’s lowest temperature on September 20.** Models from sources including GFS and local forecasts show a daytime high near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies, followed by radiative cooling after sunset as winds shift northwest at 5–8 m/s. This setup typically produces minimums of 12–14°C, consistent with the even distribution across those bins. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while any lingering low clouds could keep readings closer to 14–15°C. Historical September overnight lows average near 11°C, but current stable pressure and lack of strong advection support the narrow range traders have priced in. Updated model runs tonight will clarify cloud trends ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Amsterdam il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa ad Amsterdam il 20 settembre?
14°C 22%
16°C 22%
12°C 21%
13°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
21%
13°C
21%
14°C
22%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
20%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C o superiore
1%
14°C 22%
16°C 22%
12°C 21%
13°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$15 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$6 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$16 Vol.
1%
20°C o superiore
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Westerly flow and partial clearing overnight are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–16°C for Amsterdam’s lowest temperature on September 20.** Models from sources including GFS and local forecasts show a daytime high near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies, followed by radiative cooling after sunset as winds shift northwest at 5–8 m/s. This setup typically produces minimums of 12–14°C, consistent with the even distribution across those bins. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while any lingering low clouds could keep readings closer to 14–15°C. Historical September overnight lows average near 11°C, but current stable pressure and lack of strong advection support the narrow range traders have priced in. Updated model runs tonight will clarify cloud trends ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$54Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Westerly flow and partial clearing overnight are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–16°C for Amsterdam’s lowest temperature on September 20.** Models from sources including GFS and local forecasts show a daytime high near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies, followed by radiative cooling after sunset as winds shift northwest at 5–8 m/s. This setup typically produces minimums of 12–14°C, consistent with the even distribution across those bins. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while any lingering low clouds could keep readings closer to 14–15°C. Historical September overnight lows average near 11°C, but current stable pressure and lack of strong advection support the narrow range traders have priced in. Updated model runs tonight will clarify cloud trends ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Westerly flow and partial clearing overnight are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–16°C for Amsterdam’s lowest temperature on September 20.** Models from sources including GFS and local forecasts show a daytime high near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies, followed by radiative cooling after sunset as winds shift northwest at 5–8 m/s. This setup typically produces minimums of 12–14°C, consistent with the even distribution across those bins. Dew points near 10–12°C and moderate humidity limit further drops, while any lingering low clouds could keep readings closer to 14–15°C. Historical September overnight lows average near 11°C, but current stable pressure and lack of strong advection support the narrow range traders have priced in. Updated model runs tonight will clarify cloud trends ahead of the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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