National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 15 giugno?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F o inferiore <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$20,261 Vol.
$20,261 Vol.
67°F o inferiore
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Sì
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F o superiore
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F o inferiore <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$20,261 Vol.
$20,261 Vol.
67°F o inferiore
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Sì
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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