The dominant market consensus on a 72-73°F low for Miami on June 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Miami International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 73°F shortly after midnight under typical early-summer conditions. This aligns closely with climatological normals of 74-76°F for the date and recent model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Traders priced the outcome near certainty once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, with negligible probability assigned to outliers given the absence of atypical frontal passages or enhanced radiational cooling. Minor revisions to the final certified value remain possible but unlikely to shift the result outside the leading band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLowest temperature in Miami on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 4?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$23,463 Vol.
$23,463 Vol.
4 giu 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$23,463 Vol.
$23,463 Vol.
4 giu 2026
67°F or below
$1,720 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,095 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,796 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$3,053 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$2,163 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,421 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,655 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$407 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,347 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$6,644 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$1,162 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 72-73°F low for Miami on June 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Miami International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 73°F shortly after midnight under typical early-summer conditions. This aligns closely with climatological normals of 74-76°F for the date and recent model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Traders priced the outcome near certainty once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, with negligible probability assigned to outliers given the absence of atypical frontal passages or enhanced radiational cooling. Minor revisions to the final certified value remain possible but unlikely to shift the result outside the leading band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$23,463Data di fine
4 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 72-73°F low for Miami on June 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Miami International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 73°F shortly after midnight under typical early-summer conditions. This aligns closely with climatological normals of 74-76°F for the date and recent model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Traders priced the outcome near certainty once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, with negligible probability assigned to outliers given the absence of atypical frontal passages or enhanced radiational cooling. Minor revisions to the final certified value remain possible but unlikely to shift the result outside the leading band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,463Data di fine
4 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The dominant market consensus on a 72-73°F low for Miami on June 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at Miami International Airport, which recorded a minimum of 73°F shortly after midnight under typical early-summer conditions. This aligns closely with climatological normals of 74-76°F for the date and recent model guidance showing minimal overnight cooling amid high humidity and light winds. Traders priced the outcome near certainty once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, with negligible probability assigned to outliers given the absence of atypical frontal passages or enhanced radiational cooling. Minor revisions to the final certified value remain possible but unlikely to shift the result outside the leading band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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