National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 6 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Miami il 6 maggio?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F o meno <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 Vol.
$75,298 Vol.
6 mag 2026
69°F o meno
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Sì
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F o superiore
No
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F o meno <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 Vol.
$75,298 Vol.
6 mag 2026
69°F o meno
$1,752 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,861 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,365 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,933 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$8,248 Vol.
Sì
78-79°F
$1,121 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,726 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$6,840 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$16,093 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$16,939 Vol.
No
88°F o superiore
$14,420 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$75,298Data di fine
6 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$75,298Data di fine
6 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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