Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 21 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 21 giugno?
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F o inferiore <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$22,717 Vol.
$22,717 Vol.
21 giu 2026
57°F o inferiore
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Sì
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F o superiore
No
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F o inferiore <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$22,717 Vol.
$22,717 Vol.
21 giu 2026
57°F o inferiore
$548 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$597 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,177 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,769 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$2,066 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,820 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$5,270 Vol.
Sì
70-71°F
$4,921 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$2,775 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$897 Vol.
No
76°F o superiore
$879 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$22,717Data di fine
21 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,717Data di fine
21 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on June 21, 2026, with minimum temperatures most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s°F under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's tight clustering of probabilities on 64–69°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-summer climatology where average lows hover near 68°F and cold-air intrusions are rare. Recent model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in cloud cover, dew-point advection, or urban heat-island effects could nudge readings by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the NWS Climatological Report's official minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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