National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLowest temperature in NYC on May 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 24?
50-51°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$25,747 Vol.
$25,747 Vol.
24 mag 2026
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$25,747 Vol.
$25,747 Vol.
24 mag 2026
43°F or below
$8,625 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$1,585 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,055 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,708 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,707 Vol.
Yes
52-53°F
$2,260 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,107 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,158 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$3,834 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$818 Vol.
No
62°F or higher
$891 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volume
$25,747Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,747Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs centered the overnight low in New York City at 50–51°F on May 24, driven by persistent cloud cover that curtailed radiational cooling, light easterly winds, and the passage of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions aligned with seasonal norms for late May, where average lows hover near 55–60°F, and recent observational data from nearby stations reinforced the projected range. Trader consensus at near-100% for 50–51°F reflects this strong alignment between forecasts and surface observations. Clearer skies overnight or a sharper cold-air advection could have produced lower readings and shifted odds, though current data show no such deviation occurred.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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