Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLowest temperature in NYC on May 28?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 28?
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$20,366 Vol.
$20,366 Vol.
28 mag 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$20,366 Vol.
$20,366 Vol.
28 mag 2026
53°F or below
$4,900 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$698 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$663 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,023 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,064 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,372 Vol.
Yes
64-65°F
$2,461 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,194 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,407 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$651 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$2,932 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 24, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$20,366Data di fine
28 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 24, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,366Data di fine
28 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 24, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park placed the minimum temperature in New York City squarely in the 62-63°F range on May 28, 2026, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on that bin. This outcome aligns with late-May climatological averages for the region under a moderating high-pressure system that produced clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, limiting overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models had clustered tightly around similar values in the days preceding the event. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain minimal given the standardized instrumentation and quality-controlled data releases, though rare post-analysis adjustments for station siting or sensor calibration could theoretically arise before final archive confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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