Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 22–23°C in Wuhan on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers associated with a frontal system crossing central China. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while moderating daytime heating, keeping the daily low in the low 20s Celsius. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or precipitation intensity can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical late-September baselines for Wuhan average around 19–21°C, but this event sits within an active monsoon transition period where model spread is typically wider. Updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 21 settembre?
18°C o inferiore 100%
28°C o superiore 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
18°C o inferiore
100%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C o superiore
98%
18°C o inferiore 100%
28°C o superiore 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
18°C o inferiore
100%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 22–23°C in Wuhan on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers associated with a frontal system crossing central China. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while moderating daytime heating, keeping the daily low in the low 20s Celsius. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or precipitation intensity can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical late-September baselines for Wuhan average around 19–21°C, but this event sits within an active monsoon transition period where model spread is typically wider. Updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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