Trader consensus has solidified around a 96.1% implied probability for "No" following Ocean Infinity's March 8 announcement that its extensive 2025-2026 seabed survey—covering over 7,500 square kilometers of the southern Indian Ocean—concluded on January 23 without any confirmed MH370 wreckage. This latest high-tech effort, targeting refined crash site data, echoes over a decade of failed multinational searches spanning 120,000 square kilometers, underscoring the challenges of the remote, deep abyss and debris drift uncertainties. With no new expeditions greenlit despite family pleas for extension and just over two months until the June 30 deadline, the market reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism. Realistic upsets could include a surprise Malaysian government contract renewal or breakthrough satellite/WSPR analysis prompting a rapid pinpoint, though historical patterns suggest slim odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRottami sottomarini MH370 trovati entro il 30 giugno 2026?
Rottami sottomarini MH370 trovati entro il 30 giugno 2026?
Sì
$114,098 Vol.
$114,098 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$114,098 Vol.
$114,098 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus has solidified around a 96.1% implied probability for "No" following Ocean Infinity's March 8 announcement that its extensive 2025-2026 seabed survey—covering over 7,500 square kilometers of the southern Indian Ocean—concluded on January 23 without any confirmed MH370 wreckage. This latest high-tech effort, targeting refined crash site data, echoes over a decade of failed multinational searches spanning 120,000 square kilometers, underscoring the challenges of the remote, deep abyss and debris drift uncertainties. With no new expeditions greenlit despite family pleas for extension and just over two months until the June 30 deadline, the market reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism. Realistic upsets could include a surprise Malaysian government contract renewal or breakthrough satellite/WSPR analysis prompting a rapid pinpoint, though historical patterns suggest slim odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Volume
$114,098Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus has solidified around a 96.1% implied probability for "No" following Ocean Infinity's March 8 announcement that its extensive 2025-2026 seabed survey—covering over 7,500 square kilometers of the southern Indian Ocean—concluded on January 23 without any confirmed MH370 wreckage. This latest high-tech effort, targeting refined crash site data, echoes over a decade of failed multinational searches spanning 120,000 square kilometers, underscoring the challenges of the remote, deep abyss and debris drift uncertainties. With no new expeditions greenlit despite family pleas for extension and just over two months until the June 30 deadline, the market reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism. Realistic upsets could include a surprise Malaysian government contract renewal or breakthrough satellite/WSPR analysis prompting a rapid pinpoint, though historical patterns suggest slim odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$114,098Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus has solidified around a 96.1% implied probability for "No" following Ocean Infinity's March 8 announcement that its extensive 2025-2026 seabed survey—covering over 7,500 square kilometers of the southern Indian Ocean—concluded on January 23 without any confirmed MH370 wreckage. This latest high-tech effort, targeting refined crash site data, echoes over a decade of failed multinational searches spanning 120,000 square kilometers, underscoring the challenges of the remote, deep abyss and debris drift uncertainties. With no new expeditions greenlit despite family pleas for extension and just over two months until the June 30 deadline, the market reflects skin-in-the-game skepticism. Realistic upsets could include a surprise Malaysian government contract renewal or breakthrough satellite/WSPR analysis prompting a rapid pinpoint, though historical patterns suggest slim odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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