Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1160-1279 total X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026, with the 1240-1279 bin leading at a modest 14.1% implied probability amid closely matched frontrunners, signaling high uncertainty in this competitive field. This positioning stems from Musk's steady cadence of 38-42 daily posts observed in recent weekly markets and his ongoing viral engagement spikes, including heated exchanges on South African empowerment laws, Tesla Semi showcases, and AI hardware milestones like the AI5 tapeout. No major disruptions have altered his rhythm over the past week, but swing factors include potential surges from SpaceX updates or political commentary as the month nears its April 30 close, where sustained volume could tip toward higher bins or lulls favor lower ones.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1240-1279 14.1%
1160-1199 11.6%
1200-1239 11.4%
1120-1159 10.3%
$7,684,157 Vol.
$7,684,157 Vol.
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
<1%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
6%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
10%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
11%
1240-1279
14%
1280-1319
9%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
4%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1240-1279 14.1%
1160-1199 11.6%
1200-1239 11.4%
1120-1159 10.3%
$7,684,157 Vol.
$7,684,157 Vol.
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
<1%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
6%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
10%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
11%
1240-1279
14%
1280-1319
9%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
4%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1160-1279 total X posts by Elon Musk in April 2026, with the 1240-1279 bin leading at a modest 14.1% implied probability amid closely matched frontrunners, signaling high uncertainty in this competitive field. This positioning stems from Musk's steady cadence of 38-42 daily posts observed in recent weekly markets and his ongoing viral engagement spikes, including heated exchanges on South African empowerment laws, Tesla Semi showcases, and AI hardware milestones like the AI5 tapeout. No major disruptions have altered his rhythm over the past week, but swing factors include potential surges from SpaceX updates or political commentary as the month nears its April 30 close, where sustained volume could tip toward higher bins or lulls favor lower ones.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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