Thrash's commanding 97.4% implied probability stems from its explosive debut as Netflix's top global movie, racking up 37.7 million views this week—five times the 7.3 million of runner-up The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson and far ahead of holdovers like Anaconda. Released April 10, the shark-infested hurricane thriller, starring Bridgerton alum Phoebe Dynevor alongside Djimon Hounsou and Whitney Peak, tapped into proven disaster genre appeal amid prime spring streaming slots, fueling rapid word-of-mouth and cross-country dominance per Netflix's Top 10 charts. Trader consensus reflects this insurmountable lead midway through the tracking week, with upset scenarios limited to an unprecedented viral explosion from a challenger like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, though historical chart trajectories make that improbable as final viewership tallies lock in.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhat will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Thrash 97.4%
A Quiet Place Part II 1.4%
Anaconda <1%
Black and Blue <1%

Thrash
97%

A Quiet Place Part II
1%

Anaconda
1%

Black and Blue
1%

Untold: Jail Blazers
1%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
1%

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom
1%

Beast
1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson
1%
Thrash 97.4%
A Quiet Place Part II 1.4%
Anaconda <1%
Black and Blue <1%

Thrash
97%

A Quiet Place Part II
1%

Anaconda
1%

Black and Blue
1%

Untold: Jail Blazers
1%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
1%

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom
1%

Beast
1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson
1%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Thrash's commanding 97.4% implied probability stems from its explosive debut as Netflix's top global movie, racking up 37.7 million views this week—five times the 7.3 million of runner-up The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson and far ahead of holdovers like Anaconda. Released April 10, the shark-infested hurricane thriller, starring Bridgerton alum Phoebe Dynevor alongside Djimon Hounsou and Whitney Peak, tapped into proven disaster genre appeal amid prime spring streaming slots, fueling rapid word-of-mouth and cross-country dominance per Netflix's Top 10 charts. Trader consensus reflects this insurmountable lead midway through the tracking week, with upset scenarios limited to an unprecedented viral explosion from a challenger like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, though historical chart trajectories make that improbable as final viewership tallies lock in.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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