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Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Nessun Bond scelto 89%

Callum Turner 5.1%

Harris Dickinson 3.1%

Jacob Elordi 2.6%

Polymarket

$2,958,467 Vol.

Nessun Bond scelto 89%

Callum Turner 5.1%

Harris Dickinson 3.1%

Jacob Elordi 2.6%

Polymarket

$2,958,467 Vol.

icon for Nessun Bond scelto

Nessun Bond scelto

$294,202 Vol.

89%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$155,562 Vol.

5%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$218,046 Vol.

3%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$283,611 Vol.

3%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$155,491 Vol.

3%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$450,364 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$266,086 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$53,142 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$126,957 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$149,878 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$177,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$255,874 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$248,588 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$62,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$61,058 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The casting search for the next James Bond remains in its earliest phase after Amazon MGM Studios officially confirmed in mid-May 2026 that auditions had begun under veteran casting director Nina Gold, with no actor selected or even in advanced negotiations. This timeline explains the overwhelming market-implied odds favoring no announcement yet, as the studio, director Denis Villeneuve, and producers continue script work and initial testing of candidates ranging from established names like Callum Turner and Aaron Taylor-Johnson to emerging stage talents. Historical precedent shows Bond casting decisions unfold over many months amid secrecy, guild considerations, and studio strategy, keeping frontrunner momentum fluid until clearer signals such as final auditions or public shortlists emerge later in the year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,958,467
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The casting search for the next James Bond remains in its earliest phase after Amazon MGM Studios officially confirmed in mid-May 2026 that auditions had begun under veteran casting director Nina Gold, with no actor selected or even in advanced negotiations. This timeline explains the overwhelming market-implied odds favoring no announcement yet, as the studio, director Denis Villeneuve, and producers continue script work and initial testing of candidates ranging from established names like Callum Turner and Aaron Taylor-Johnson to emerging stage talents. Historical precedent shows Bond casting decisions unfold over many months amid secrecy, guild considerations, and studio strategy, keeping frontrunner momentum fluid until clearer signals such as final auditions or public shortlists emerge later in the year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,958,467
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 89%, seguito da "Callum Turner" a 5%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" ha generato $3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 4, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Callum Turner" a 5%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.