Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1200-1400 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, with top bins like 1320-1359 (7.6%) and 1360-1399 (7.0%) reflecting his steady 35-45 posts per day observed in March's 1320-1359 total and early April weekly markets (e.g., 247 posts April 10-17). This fragmented distribution stems from historical variability driven by viral controversies, Tesla/SpaceX updates, and political commentary, causing 100-200 tweet swings month-to-month. No major catalysts in the past week have shifted pace, but key differentiators include potential spikes from earnings calls, launches, or X platform changes; traders watch daily trackers closely as May nears for momentum breaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1320-1359 7.6%
1360-1399 7.0%
1280-1319 6.8%
1240-1279 6.5%
$304,190 Vol.
$304,190 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
5%
1160-1199
6%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
7%
1320-1359
8%
1360-1399
7%
1400-1439
6%
1440-1479
6%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560-1599
2%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
2%
1320-1359 7.6%
1360-1399 7.0%
1280-1319 6.8%
1240-1279 6.5%
$304,190 Vol.
$304,190 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
5%
1160-1199
6%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
7%
1320-1359
8%
1360-1399
7%
1400-1439
6%
1440-1479
6%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560-1599
2%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 1200-1400 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, with top bins like 1320-1359 (7.6%) and 1360-1399 (7.0%) reflecting his steady 35-45 posts per day observed in March's 1320-1359 total and early April weekly markets (e.g., 247 posts April 10-17). This fragmented distribution stems from historical variability driven by viral controversies, Tesla/SpaceX updates, and political commentary, causing 100-200 tweet swings month-to-month. No major catalysts in the past week have shifted pace, but key differentiators include potential spikes from earnings calls, launches, or X platform changes; traders watch daily trackers closely as May nears for momentum breaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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