Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, remains absent from public view amid unverified reports of severe injuries sustained in the same attack, including facial disfigurement and leg wounds, with treatment reportedly in Qom. His whereabouts, confirmed by a Russian envoy in late March as within Iran, continue to spark speculation, but state media has broadcast his statements demanding war compensation during recent US-Iran ceasefire negotiations. No credible evidence indicates departure from Iran, reflecting trader consensus on regime stability despite leadership uncertainty and potential Mossad-CIA threats; upcoming diplomatic summits or health disclosures could influence probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$885,070 Vol.
30 apr 2026
30 aprile
2%
31 maggio
6%
30 giugno
9%
$885,070 Vol.
30 aprile
$201,811 Vol.
2%
31 maggio
$12,318 Vol.
6%
30 giugno
$8,464 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, remains absent from public view amid unverified reports of severe injuries sustained in the same attack, including facial disfigurement and leg wounds, with treatment reportedly in Qom. His whereabouts, confirmed by a Russian envoy in late March as within Iran, continue to spark speculation, but state media has broadcast his statements demanding war compensation during recent US-Iran ceasefire negotiations. No credible evidence indicates departure from Iran, reflecting trader consensus on regime stability despite leadership uncertainty and potential Mossad-CIA threats; upcoming diplomatic summits or health disclosures could influence probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$885,070Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, remains absent from public view amid unverified reports of severe injuries sustained in the same attack, including facial disfigurement and leg wounds, with treatment reportedly in Qom. His whereabouts, confirmed by a Russian envoy in late March as within Iran, continue to spark speculation, but state media has broadcast his statements demanding war compensation during recent US-Iran ceasefire negotiations. No credible evidence indicates departure from Iran, reflecting trader consensus on regime stability despite leadership uncertainty and potential Mossad-CIA threats; upcoming diplomatic summits or health disclosures could influence probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$885,070Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, remains absent from public view amid unverified reports of severe injuries sustained in the same attack, including facial disfigurement and leg wounds, with treatment reportedly in Qom. His whereabouts, confirmed by a Russian envoy in late March as within Iran, continue to spark speculation, but state media has broadcast his statements demanding war compensation during recent US-Iran ceasefire negotiations. No credible evidence indicates departure from Iran, reflecting trader consensus on regime stability despite leadership uncertainty and potential Mossad-CIA threats; upcoming diplomatic summits or health disclosures could influence probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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