Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. U.S. intelligence assessments indicate he was lightly to seriously wounded in the initial attacks, remains in an undisclosed secure location inside Iran, and communicates through couriers while avoiding public appearances or verified statements. Iranian authorities have denied reports of medical transfers abroad and continue to project leadership continuity amid the regional conflict, with no official signals of planned departures or diplomatic arrangements. Trader sentiment on any exit by mid-2026 deadlines reflects these security constraints, the absence of confirmed travel, and the regime's emphasis on internal stability during heightened tensions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,793,651 Vol.
30 giugno
1%
$1,793,651 Vol.
30 giugno
1%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. U.S. intelligence assessments indicate he was lightly to seriously wounded in the initial attacks, remains in an undisclosed secure location inside Iran, and communicates through couriers while avoiding public appearances or verified statements. Iranian authorities have denied reports of medical transfers abroad and continue to project leadership continuity amid the regional conflict, with no official signals of planned departures or diplomatic arrangements. Trader sentiment on any exit by mid-2026 deadlines reflects these security constraints, the absence of confirmed travel, and the regime's emphasis on internal stability during heightened tensions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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