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Ali Khamenei predictions & odds

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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

95%

Xi Jinping

$320K Vol.

$212K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

68%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M Vol.

$50.0K today

$1M Liq.

86

Ends in 9 months

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

53%

<5

$10.1K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Khamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

30%

<5

$3.2K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

6%

June 30

$361K Vol.

$43.0K Liq.

9

Ends in 13 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

1%

$32M Vol.

$460K today

$1M Liq.

3

Ends in 13 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

4%

$2M Vol.

$119K today

$565K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

7%

$31M Vol.

$75.1K today

$851K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

22%

June 30, 2026

$672K Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

43

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

19%

$15M Vol.

$100.0K today

$435K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

14%

$532K Vol.

$61.7K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

13%

$393K Vol.

$47.8K Liq.

17

Ends in 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

83%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$470K today

$103K Liq.

66

Ends in 13 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$15M Vol.

$68.6K today

$436K Liq.

347

Ends in 2 months

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

9%

Any U.S. House member

$325K Vol.

$206K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

10%

$1M Vol.

$113K Liq.

36

Ends in 9 months

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?

8%

April 21

$4M Vol.

$309K today

$123K Liq.

112

Ends in 4 days

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?

82%

Steve Witkoff

$124K Vol.

$102K today

$117K Liq.

3

Ends in 13 days

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

4%

Fed Rate Cut

$174K Vol.

$52.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

44%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$908K Vol.

$246K today

$142K Liq.

31

Ends in 13 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Ali Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump meet with in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $112.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ali Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.