Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon have featured repeated airstrikes and evacuation orders targeting Tyre and surrounding areas since March 2026 amid the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, including a major strike and city-wide warning in early June that extended to the Christian quarter. Ground forces have advanced into parts of the Tyre district and expanded a self-declared security zone beyond the "yellow line" into nearby villages such as Al Mansouri by early September, yet no verified ground entry into Tyre municipality itself has occurred. A series of U.S.-brokered truces and ceasefires have constrained deeper incursions, with Israeli forces prioritizing targeted strikes, infrastructure dismantling, and fire control over urban ground maneuvers. Recent diplomatic pauses and Hezbollah's continued presence in the area have shaped trader assessments of entry probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$102,541 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
6%
$102,541 Vol.
9月30日
$1,574 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon have featured repeated airstrikes and evacuation orders targeting Tyre and surrounding areas since March 2026 amid the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, including a major strike and city-wide warning in early June that extended to the Christian quarter. Ground forces have advanced into parts of the Tyre district and expanded a self-declared security zone beyond the "yellow line" into nearby villages such as Al Mansouri by early September, yet no verified ground entry into Tyre municipality itself has occurred. A series of U.S.-brokered truces and ceasefires have constrained deeper incursions, with Israeli forces prioritizing targeted strikes, infrastructure dismantling, and fire control over urban ground maneuvers. Recent diplomatic pauses and Hezbollah's continued presence in the area have shaped trader assessments of entry probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
音量
$102,541終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon have featured repeated airstrikes and evacuation orders targeting Tyre and surrounding areas since March 2026 amid the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, including a major strike and city-wide warning in early June that extended to the Christian quarter. Ground forces have advanced into parts of the Tyre district and expanded a self-declared security zone beyond the "yellow line" into nearby villages such as Al Mansouri by early September, yet no verified ground entry into Tyre municipality itself has occurred. A series of U.S.-brokered truces and ceasefires have constrained deeper incursions, with Israeli forces prioritizing targeted strikes, infrastructure dismantling, and fire control over urban ground maneuvers. Recent diplomatic pauses and Hezbollah's continued presence in the area have shaped trader assessments of entry probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$102,541終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 10:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon have featured repeated airstrikes and evacuation orders targeting Tyre and surrounding areas since March 2026 amid the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, including a major strike and city-wide warning in early June that extended to the Christian quarter. Ground forces have advanced into parts of the Tyre district and expanded a self-declared security zone beyond the "yellow line" into nearby villages such as Al Mansouri by early September, yet no verified ground entry into Tyre municipality itself has occurred. A series of U.S.-brokered truces and ceasefires have constrained deeper incursions, with Israeli forces prioritizing targeted strikes, infrastructure dismantling, and fire control over urban ground maneuvers. Recent diplomatic pauses and Hezbollah's continued presence in the area have shaped trader assessments of entry probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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