Israeli military operations in the 2026 Lebanon war remain concentrated in southern Lebanon, where IDF forces have advanced to and in some cases beyond the Litani River to establish buffer zones and target Hezbollah infrastructure. Airstrikes have hit Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) in June 2026 in response to Hezbollah rocket and drone activity, yet no ground incursions into the capital have occurred. Ceasefire extensions, U.S.-brokered talks with Iran, and Lebanese government restrictions on Hezbollah activity have reinforced restraint on deeper northern pushes. Trader consensus on low near-term odds for entry into Beirut reflects these geographic limits, escalation risks involving broader regional actors, and ongoing diplomatic channels that could extend de-escalation through late June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$90,820 Vol.
2026/06/30
June 30
<1%
July 31
2%
$90,820 Vol.
June 30
$39,864 Vol.
<1%
July 31
$39,755 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in the 2026 Lebanon war remain concentrated in southern Lebanon, where IDF forces have advanced to and in some cases beyond the Litani River to establish buffer zones and target Hezbollah infrastructure. Airstrikes have hit Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) in June 2026 in response to Hezbollah rocket and drone activity, yet no ground incursions into the capital have occurred. Ceasefire extensions, U.S.-brokered talks with Iran, and Lebanese government restrictions on Hezbollah activity have reinforced restraint on deeper northern pushes. Trader consensus on low near-term odds for entry into Beirut reflects these geographic limits, escalation risks involving broader regional actors, and ongoing diplomatic channels that could extend de-escalation through late June.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
音量
$90,820終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in the 2026 Lebanon war remain concentrated in southern Lebanon, where IDF forces have advanced to and in some cases beyond the Litani River to establish buffer zones and target Hezbollah infrastructure. Airstrikes have hit Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) in June 2026 in response to Hezbollah rocket and drone activity, yet no ground incursions into the capital have occurred. Ceasefire extensions, U.S.-brokered talks with Iran, and Lebanese government restrictions on Hezbollah activity have reinforced restraint on deeper northern pushes. Trader consensus on low near-term odds for entry into Beirut reflects these geographic limits, escalation risks involving broader regional actors, and ongoing diplomatic channels that could extend de-escalation through late June.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$90,820終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations in the 2026 Lebanon war remain concentrated in southern Lebanon, where IDF forces have advanced to and in some cases beyond the Litani River to establish buffer zones and target Hezbollah infrastructure. Airstrikes have hit Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) in June 2026 in response to Hezbollah rocket and drone activity, yet no ground incursions into the capital have occurred. Ceasefire extensions, U.S.-brokered talks with Iran, and Lebanese government restrictions on Hezbollah activity have reinforced restraint on deeper northern pushes. Trader consensus on low near-term odds for entry into Beirut reflects these geographic limits, escalation risks involving broader regional actors, and ongoing diplomatic channels that could extend de-escalation through late June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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