Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$87,943 Vol.

レバノン
20%

チュニジア
19%

ベネズエラ
15%

シリア
12%

サウジアラビア
12%

キューバ
11%

クウェート
11%

インドネシア
11%

バングラデシュ
8%

イラン
8%

カタール
7%

イラク
7%

パキスタン
6%

北朝鮮
5%

アフガニスタン
5%

マレーシア
5%
$87,943 Vol.

レバノン
20%

チュニジア
19%

ベネズエラ
15%

シリア
12%

サウジアラビア
12%

キューバ
11%

クウェート
11%

インドネシア
11%

バングラデシュ
8%

イラン
8%

カタール
7%

イラク
7%

パキスタン
6%

北朝鮮
5%

アフガニスタン
5%

マレーシア
5%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問