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icon for イスラエルとシリアは...によって関係を正常化しますか？
地政学·イスラエル

イスラエルとシリアは...によって関係を正常化しますか？

icon for イスラエルとシリアは...によって関係を正常化しますか？
地政学·イスラエル

イスラエルとシリアは...によって関係を正常化しますか？

$2,149,469 Vol.

2025/12/30
Polymarket

$2,149,469 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$687,715 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated security talks between Israel and the new Syrian government under President Ahmed al-Sharaa have advanced in fits and starts since early 2026, including Paris sessions in January and Jordan meetings in August, aimed at reviving elements of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement and establishing deconfliction mechanisms. These efforts, backed by US sanctions relief on Syria, focus on Israeli withdrawals from its post-Assad security zone in southern Syria, minority protections, and limits on Iranian or other hostile influence, rather than full diplomatic normalization or Abraham Accords-style ties. Persistent Israeli airstrikes, incursions, and the September 2026 visit by Prime Minister Netanyahu to Mount Hermon have drawn Syrian condemnations and underscored mutual distrust, with Damascus prioritizing sovereignty restoration and Jerusalem emphasizing border security. Core obstacles remain the Golan Heights status and Syria’s demand for complete Israeli pullback before broader agreements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,149,469
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated security talks between Israel and the new Syrian government under President Ahmed al-Sharaa have advanced in fits and starts since early 2026, including Paris sessions in January and Jordan meetings in August, aimed at reviving elements of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement and establishing deconfliction mechanisms. These efforts, backed by US sanctions relief on Syria, focus on Israeli withdrawals from its post-Assad security zone in southern Syria, minority protections, and limits on Iranian or other hostile influence, rather than full diplomatic normalization or Abraham Accords-style ties. Persistent Israeli airstrikes, incursions, and the September 2026 visit by Prime Minister Netanyahu to Mount Hermon have drawn Syrian condemnations and underscored mutual distrust, with Damascus prioritizing sovereignty restoration and Jerusalem emphasizing border security. Core obstacles remain the Golan Heights status and Syria’s demand for complete Israeli pullback before broader agreements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,149,469
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イスラエルとシリアは...によって関係を正常化しますか？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で9%、次いで「2025年12月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、9¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に9%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イスラエルとシリアは...によって関係を正常化しますか？」は$2.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jun 2, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イスラエルとシリアは...によって関係を正常化しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「イスラエルとシリアは...によって関係を正常化しますか？」の現在のリーダーは「2026年12月31日」でわずか9%、「2025年12月31日」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イスラエルとシリアは...によって関係を正常化しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。