Lebanese authorities and the Lebanese Armed Forces have advanced incremental steps toward a state monopoly on weapons south of the Litani River under the June 2026 U.S.-brokered trilateral framework, which conditions any Israeli redeployment on verified Hezbollah disarmament and dismantlement of infrastructure. Hezbollah leaders rejected the deal outright, labeling it a humiliation and vowing continued resistance, while the group has not participated in implementation. Recent LAF operations in pilot zones have produced limited seizures—mostly light ammunition—and operational control claims, though Israeli assessments question their effectiveness and note possible coordination with Hezbollah. President Joseph Aoun has described full disarmament as non-negotiable yet insists on a peaceful process to avoid civil conflict. U.S.-mediated talks are scheduled for October in Rome, with Israeli officials stressing that meaningful Lebanese army improvements on the ground remain a prerequisite for further progress.

Apr 25 2026

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a

April 30 rises to 4%4%

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a brief rally to 4 % before the

Apr 23 2026

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to

April 30 dips to 0%4%

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to slide back to 0 %

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