Traders assign a 97% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because repeated Senate attempts to advance measures directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities have failed on narrow, largely party-line votes, most recently on June 16. The House approved a concurrent resolution on June 3, yet such measures carry limited legal weight and face procedural and veto barriers in a divided chamber with limited time left. Ongoing diplomatic talks and administration signals of a potential de-escalation path have further reduced urgency for legislative action. A last-minute bipartisan breakthrough in the Senate before the deadline remains possible but would require rapid shifts in Republican support amid the short remaining window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$338,024 Vol.
$338,024 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$338,024 Vol.
$338,024 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 97% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because repeated Senate attempts to advance measures directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities have failed on narrow, largely party-line votes, most recently on June 16. The House approved a concurrent resolution on June 3, yet such measures carry limited legal weight and face procedural and veto barriers in a divided chamber with limited time left. Ongoing diplomatic talks and administration signals of a potential de-escalation path have further reduced urgency for legislative action. A last-minute bipartisan breakthrough in the Senate before the deadline remains possible but would require rapid shifts in Republican support amid the short remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
音量
$338,024終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 97% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because repeated Senate attempts to advance measures directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities have failed on narrow, largely party-line votes, most recently on June 16. The House approved a concurrent resolution on June 3, yet such measures carry limited legal weight and face procedural and veto barriers in a divided chamber with limited time left. Ongoing diplomatic talks and administration signals of a potential de-escalation path have further reduced urgency for legislative action. A last-minute bipartisan breakthrough in the Senate before the deadline remains possible but would require rapid shifts in Republican support amid the short remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$338,024終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Traders assign a 97% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because repeated Senate attempts to advance measures directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities have failed on narrow, largely party-line votes, most recently on June 16. The House approved a concurrent resolution on June 3, yet such measures carry limited legal weight and face procedural and veto barriers in a divided chamber with limited time left. Ongoing diplomatic talks and administration signals of a potential de-escalation path have further reduced urgency for legislative action. A last-minute bipartisan breakthrough in the Senate before the deadline remains possible but would require rapid shifts in Republican support amid the short remaining window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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