Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since sustaining injuries in the February 2026 US-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, and other family members. He communicates solely through written statements while the regime cites security threats from targeted assassinations. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently confirmed Khamenei is alive, exercising authority, and operating from an undisclosed secure location inside the country, dismissing foreign rumors of his condition or whereabouts as propaganda. Analysts note persistent speculation about severe injuries possibly requiring specialized treatment abroad, collective leadership dynamics, or internal power shifts, though reports indicate he has stayed within Iran amid the ongoing conflict. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments could influence any relocation decisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$117,838 Vol.
2026/10/31
10月31日
3%
12月31日
5%
$117,838 Vol.
10月31日
$119 Vol.
3%
12月31日
$806 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since sustaining injuries in the February 2026 US-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, and other family members. He communicates solely through written statements while the regime cites security threats from targeted assassinations. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently confirmed Khamenei is alive, exercising authority, and operating from an undisclosed secure location inside the country, dismissing foreign rumors of his condition or whereabouts as propaganda. Analysts note persistent speculation about severe injuries possibly requiring specialized treatment abroad, collective leadership dynamics, or internal power shifts, though reports indicate he has stayed within Iran amid the ongoing conflict. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments could influence any relocation decisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$117,838終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since sustaining injuries in the February 2026 US-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, and other family members. He communicates solely through written statements while the regime cites security threats from targeted assassinations. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently confirmed Khamenei is alive, exercising authority, and operating from an undisclosed secure location inside the country, dismissing foreign rumors of his condition or whereabouts as propaganda. Analysts note persistent speculation about severe injuries possibly requiring specialized treatment abroad, collective leadership dynamics, or internal power shifts, though reports indicate he has stayed within Iran amid the ongoing conflict. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments could influence any relocation decisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$117,838終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since sustaining injuries in the February 2026 US-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, and other family members. He communicates solely through written statements while the regime cites security threats from targeted assassinations. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently confirmed Khamenei is alive, exercising authority, and operating from an undisclosed secure location inside the country, dismissing foreign rumors of his condition or whereabouts as propaganda. Analysts note persistent speculation about severe injuries possibly requiring specialized treatment abroad, collective leadership dynamics, or internal power shifts, though reports indicate he has stayed within Iran amid the ongoing conflict. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments could influence any relocation decisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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