OpenAI’s aggressive release cadence, including the GPT-5.6 Sol family in July and GPT-6 Astra in early September, has positioned traders to assign a 69% implied probability to a 5.7+ Sol variant arriving on or before September 22. Recent specialized drops such as GPT-5.6 Cyber variants in August and GPT-Live-1 on September 10 reinforce expectations of rapid iteration on flagship capabilities in coding, agentic workflows, and cybersecurity. The steep drop-off after September 24 reflects limited evidence of further near-term delays, while the sub-1% chance of no release by October 5 aligns with OpenAI’s established pattern of frequent model updates and tiered capability expansions rather than prolonged gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo modello Sol GPT (5.7+) rilasciato il...?
Prossimo modello Sol GPT (5.7+) rilasciato il...?
Il o prima del 22 settembre 77.6%
23 settembre 9%
24 settembre 7%
3 ottobre 4.5%
NUOVO
$24,006 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,006 Vol.
22 set 2026
Il o prima del 22 settembre
78%
23 settembre
9%
24 settembre
7%
25 settembre
1%
26 settembre
1%
27 settembre
1%
28 settembre
1%
29 settembre
4%
30 settembre
1%
1 ottobre
3%
2 ottobre
1%
3 ottobre
4%
4 ottobre
<1%
5 ottobre
1%
Nessun rilascio entro il 5 ottobre
<1%
Il o prima del 22 settembre 77.6%
23 settembre 9%
24 settembre 7%
3 ottobre 4.5%
NUOVO
$24,006 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,006 Vol.
22 set 2026
Il o prima del 22 settembre
$3,815 Vol.
78%
23 settembre
$1,914 Vol.
9%
24 settembre
$1,615 Vol.
7%
25 settembre
$1,484 Vol.
1%
26 settembre
$1,599 Vol.
1%
27 settembre
$1,599 Vol.
1%
28 settembre
$1,254 Vol.
1%
29 settembre
$1,831 Vol.
4%
30 settembre
$1,474 Vol.
1%
1 ottobre
$1,219 Vol.
3%
2 ottobre
$1,361 Vol.
1%
3 ottobre
$1,413 Vol.
4%
4 ottobre
$777 Vol.
<1%
5 ottobre
$1,347 Vol.
1%
Nessun rilascio entro il 5 ottobre
$1,302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s aggressive release cadence, including the GPT-5.6 Sol family in July and GPT-6 Astra in early September, has positioned traders to assign a 69% implied probability to a 5.7+ Sol variant arriving on or before September 22. Recent specialized drops such as GPT-5.6 Cyber variants in August and GPT-Live-1 on September 10 reinforce expectations of rapid iteration on flagship capabilities in coding, agentic workflows, and cybersecurity. The steep drop-off after September 24 reflects limited evidence of further near-term delays, while the sub-1% chance of no release by October 5 aligns with OpenAI’s established pattern of frequent model updates and tiered capability expansions rather than prolonged gaps.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Volume
$24,006Data di fine
6 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s aggressive release cadence, including the GPT-5.6 Sol family in July and GPT-6 Astra in early September, has positioned traders to assign a 69% implied probability to a 5.7+ Sol variant arriving on or before September 22. Recent specialized drops such as GPT-5.6 Cyber variants in August and GPT-Live-1 on September 10 reinforce expectations of rapid iteration on flagship capabilities in coding, agentic workflows, and cybersecurity. The steep drop-off after September 24 reflects limited evidence of further near-term delays, while the sub-1% chance of no release by October 5 aligns with OpenAI’s established pattern of frequent model updates and tiered capability expansions rather than prolonged gaps.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$24,006Data di fine
6 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s aggressive release cadence, including the GPT-5.6 Sol family in July and GPT-6 Astra in early September, has positioned traders to assign a 69% implied probability to a 5.7+ Sol variant arriving on or before September 22. Recent specialized drops such as GPT-5.6 Cyber variants in August and GPT-Live-1 on September 10 reinforce expectations of rapid iteration on flagship capabilities in coding, agentic workflows, and cybersecurity. The steep drop-off after September 24 reflects limited evidence of further near-term delays, while the sub-1% chance of no release by October 5 aligns with OpenAI’s established pattern of frequent model updates and tiered capability expansions rather than prolonged gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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