Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 53% implied probability, reflecting CEO Aravind Srinivas's recent Reddit AMA explicitly ruling out public listing until then amid abundant private capital for AI startups. Perplexity's explosive growth—ARR surging over 50% to $450M+ in a single month via agentic tools like Perplexity Computer and Comet—orchestrating multiple large language models for task completion, has sustained its $20B private valuation from a September 2025 funding round, positioning higher market cap bands (75B–100B at 12.7%, 50B–75B at 11.3%) as next likely if an IPO materializes post-2028. No S-1 filing or banker hires signal ongoing private focus, though enterprise adoption and 100M+ users could accelerate timelines on further breakthroughs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPerplessità IPO Chiusura Market Cap
Perplessità IPO Chiusura Market Cap
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 53%
75–100 miliardi 12.8%
50–75 miliardi 11.6%
Oltre 100 miliardi 8.0%
$139,532 Vol.
$139,532 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 miliardi
5%
20–30 miliardi
4%
30–40 miliardi
6%
40–50 miliardi
6%
50–75 miliardi
12%
75–100 miliardi
13%
Oltre 100 miliardi
8%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
53%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028 53%
75–100 miliardi 12.8%
50–75 miliardi 11.6%
Oltre 100 miliardi 8.0%
$139,532 Vol.
$139,532 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 miliardi
$4,454 Vol.
5%
20–30 miliardi
$5,889 Vol.
4%
30–40 miliardi
$4,370 Vol.
6%
40–50 miliardi
$4,192 Vol.
6%
50–75 miliardi
$6,236 Vol.
12%
75–100 miliardi
$3,299 Vol.
13%
Oltre 100 miliardi
$4,686 Vol.
8%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2028
$106,407 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 53% implied probability, reflecting CEO Aravind Srinivas's recent Reddit AMA explicitly ruling out public listing until then amid abundant private capital for AI startups. Perplexity's explosive growth—ARR surging over 50% to $450M+ in a single month via agentic tools like Perplexity Computer and Comet—orchestrating multiple large language models for task completion, has sustained its $20B private valuation from a September 2025 funding round, positioning higher market cap bands (75B–100B at 12.7%, 50B–75B at 11.3%) as next likely if an IPO materializes post-2028. No S-1 filing or banker hires signal ongoing private focus, though enterprise adoption and 100M+ users could accelerate timelines on further breakthroughs.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$139,532Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 53% implied probability, reflecting CEO Aravind Srinivas's recent Reddit AMA explicitly ruling out public listing until then amid abundant private capital for AI startups. Perplexity's explosive growth—ARR surging over 50% to $450M+ in a single month via agentic tools like Perplexity Computer and Comet—orchestrating multiple large language models for task completion, has sustained its $20B private valuation from a September 2025 funding round, positioning higher market cap bands (75B–100B at 12.7%, 50B–75B at 11.3%) as next likely if an IPO materializes post-2028. No S-1 filing or banker hires signal ongoing private focus, though enterprise adoption and 100M+ users could accelerate timelines on further breakthroughs.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$139,532Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 53% implied probability, reflecting CEO Aravind Srinivas's recent Reddit AMA explicitly ruling out public listing until then amid abundant private capital for AI startups. Perplexity's explosive growth—ARR surging over 50% to $450M+ in a single month via agentic tools like Perplexity Computer and Comet—orchestrating multiple large language models for task completion, has sustained its $20B private valuation from a September 2025 funding round, positioning higher market cap bands (75B–100B at 12.7%, 50B–75B at 11.3%) as next likely if an IPO materializes post-2028. No S-1 filing or banker hires signal ongoing private focus, though enterprise adoption and 100M+ users could accelerate timelines on further breakthroughs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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