Recent polling data from early June 2026 has clustered tightly around 39 percent approval for President Trump, driving the near-certain market outcome for that range on June 5. Multiple trackers, including RealClearPolitics at roughly 40 percent, Ballotpedia at 40 percent, and averages from the New York Times and others near 38 percent, reflect steady readings amid ongoing economic concerns and reactions to the Iran conflict. Daily Rasmussen and Civiqs surveys from June 4–5 also landed in the 39–41 percent band. With resolution likely tied to a defined poll or composite released around that date, only an unexpected late revision or outlier survey outside the established trend would shift the result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato39,0–39,4 99.6%
39,5+ <1%
<37,5 <1%
37,5–37,9 <1%
$16,705 Vol.
$16,705 Vol.
5 giu 2026
<37,5
No
37,5–37,9
No
38,0–38,4
No
38,5–38,9
No
39,0–39,4
Sì
39,5+
No
39,0–39,4 99.6%
39,5+ <1%
<37,5 <1%
37,5–37,9 <1%
$16,705 Vol.
$16,705 Vol.
5 giu 2026
<37,5
$1,227 Vol.
No
37,5–37,9
$1,807 Vol.
No
38,0–38,4
$2,101 Vol.
No
38,5–38,9
$2,350 Vol.
No
39,0–39,4
$5,607 Vol.
Sì
39,5+
$3,613 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling data from early June 2026 has clustered tightly around 39 percent approval for President Trump, driving the near-certain market outcome for that range on June 5. Multiple trackers, including RealClearPolitics at roughly 40 percent, Ballotpedia at 40 percent, and averages from the New York Times and others near 38 percent, reflect steady readings amid ongoing economic concerns and reactions to the Iran conflict. Daily Rasmussen and Civiqs surveys from June 4–5 also landed in the 39–41 percent band. With resolution likely tied to a defined poll or composite released around that date, only an unexpected late revision or outlier survey outside the established trend would shift the result.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$16,705Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling data from early June 2026 has clustered tightly around 39 percent approval for President Trump, driving the near-certain market outcome for that range on June 5. Multiple trackers, including RealClearPolitics at roughly 40 percent, Ballotpedia at 40 percent, and averages from the New York Times and others near 38 percent, reflect steady readings amid ongoing economic concerns and reactions to the Iran conflict. Daily Rasmussen and Civiqs surveys from June 4–5 also landed in the 39–41 percent band. With resolution likely tied to a defined poll or composite released around that date, only an unexpected late revision or outlier survey outside the established trend would shift the result.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$16,705Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent polling data from early June 2026 has clustered tightly around 39 percent approval for President Trump, driving the near-certain market outcome for that range on June 5. Multiple trackers, including RealClearPolitics at roughly 40 percent, Ballotpedia at 40 percent, and averages from the New York Times and others near 38 percent, reflect steady readings amid ongoing economic concerns and reactions to the Iran conflict. Daily Rasmussen and Civiqs surveys from June 4–5 also landed in the 39–41 percent band. With resolution likely tied to a defined poll or composite released around that date, only an unexpected late revision or outlier survey outside the established trend would shift the result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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