Trader consensus slightly favors Paris Saint-Germain at 43.5% implied probability for victory in the UEFA Champions League semi-final first leg at Parc des Princes, reflecting home advantage and their status as defending champions after a strong quarter-final win over Liverpool. Bayern München trails at 35.5%, buoyed by a dramatic quarter-final triumph against Real Madrid, with their injury list thinning—Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies recently returning—bolstering attacking depth alongside Harry Kane's form. A 23% draw price underscores the matchup's tightness, given Bayern's historical head-to-head edge (7 wins in 10 vs. PSG) but PSG's recent 2-0 Club World Cup quarter-final upset in July 2025. PSG received positive updates on Désiré Doué and Nuno Mendes' fitness post-Liverpool, minimizing absences ahead of April 28.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIf Paris Saint-Germain FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Paris Saint-Germain FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Paris Saint-Germain at 43.5% implied probability for victory in the UEFA Champions League semi-final first leg at Parc des Princes, reflecting home advantage and their status as defending champions after a strong quarter-final win over Liverpool. Bayern München trails at 35.5%, buoyed by a dramatic quarter-final triumph against Real Madrid, with their injury list thinning—Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies recently returning—bolstering attacking depth alongside Harry Kane's form. A 23% draw price underscores the matchup's tightness, given Bayern's historical head-to-head edge (7 wins in 10 vs. PSG) but PSG's recent 2-0 Club World Cup quarter-final upset in July 2025. PSG received positive updates on Désiré Doué and Nuno Mendes' fitness post-Liverpool, minimizing absences ahead of April 28.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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