Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.8% for a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30, reflecting the facility's continued limited operations following a February ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Israel-Hezbollah clashes. The U.S. Embassy issued a security alert on April 3 urging American citizens to depart commercially while preparing contingency plans, but core staff remain with travel restrictions and emergency services available. Recent U.S.-hosted direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys on April 14 signal diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation, despite ongoing airstrikes and potential ceasefire discussions. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden Hezbollah attacks on the embassy, intensified Beirut strikes, or State Department escalation orders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$13,515 Vol.
$13,515 Vol.
30 apr 2026
$13,515 Vol.
$13,515 Vol.
30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.8% for a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30, reflecting the facility's continued limited operations following a February ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Israel-Hezbollah clashes. The U.S. Embassy issued a security alert on April 3 urging American citizens to depart commercially while preparing contingency plans, but core staff remain with travel restrictions and emergency services available. Recent U.S.-hosted direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys on April 14 signal diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation, despite ongoing airstrikes and potential ceasefire discussions. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden Hezbollah attacks on the embassy, intensified Beirut strikes, or State Department escalation orders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$13,515Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.8% for a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30, reflecting the facility's continued limited operations following a February ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Israel-Hezbollah clashes. The U.S. Embassy issued a security alert on April 3 urging American citizens to depart commercially while preparing contingency plans, but core staff remain with travel restrictions and emergency services available. Recent U.S.-hosted direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys on April 14 signal diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation, despite ongoing airstrikes and potential ceasefire discussions. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden Hezbollah attacks on the embassy, intensified Beirut strikes, or State Department escalation orders.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$13,515Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.8% for a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30, reflecting the facility's continued limited operations following a February ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and families amid Israel-Hezbollah clashes. The U.S. Embassy issued a security alert on April 3 urging American citizens to depart commercially while preparing contingency plans, but core staff remain with travel restrictions and emergency services available. Recent U.S.-hosted direct talks between Israeli and Lebanese envoys on April 14 signal diplomatic efforts toward de-escalation, despite ongoing airstrikes and potential ceasefire discussions. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden Hezbollah attacks on the embassy, intensified Beirut strikes, or State Department escalation orders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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