Trader consensus at 100% "No" on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30 reflects the deadline's passage without any State Department ordered departure of remaining core staff, following a February partial evacuation of non-emergency personnel. U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, including a ten-day cessation of hostilities starting April 16 and subsequent extensions after trilateral meetings, have fostered de-escalation despite volatile security. Embassy alerts on April 22 urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while sustaining operations, visa services, and monitoring. Absent major escalations like renewed airstrikes, high confidence persists, though late-breaking disclosures of undisclosed actions could prompt resolution disputes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
$23,430 Vol.
$23,430 Vol.
30 apr 2026
$23,430 Vol.
$23,430 Vol.
30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Trader consensus at 100% "No" on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30 reflects the deadline's passage without any State Department ordered departure of remaining core staff, following a February partial evacuation of non-emergency personnel. U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, including a ten-day cessation of hostilities starting April 16 and subsequent extensions after trilateral meetings, have fostered de-escalation despite volatile security. Embassy alerts on April 22 urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while sustaining operations, visa services, and monitoring. Absent major escalations like renewed airstrikes, high confidence persists, though late-breaking disclosures of undisclosed actions could prompt resolution disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$23,430Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Trader consensus at 100% "No" on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30 reflects the deadline's passage without any State Department ordered departure of remaining core staff, following a February partial evacuation of non-emergency personnel. U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, including a ten-day cessation of hostilities starting April 16 and subsequent extensions after trilateral meetings, have fostered de-escalation despite volatile security. Embassy alerts on April 22 urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while sustaining operations, visa services, and monitoring. Absent major escalations like renewed airstrikes, high confidence persists, though late-breaking disclosures of undisclosed actions could prompt resolution disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$23,430Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus at 100% "No" on a U.S. evacuation of the Beirut Embassy by April 30 reflects the deadline's passage without any State Department ordered departure of remaining core staff, following a February partial evacuation of non-emergency personnel. U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon ceasefire talks, including a ten-day cessation of hostilities starting April 16 and subsequent extensions after trilateral meetings, have fostered de-escalation despite volatile security. Embassy alerts on April 22 urged American citizens to depart via commercial flights while sustaining operations, visa services, and monitoring. Absent major escalations like renewed airstrikes, high confidence persists, though late-breaking disclosures of undisclosed actions could prompt resolution disputes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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