Persistent U.S.-Iran hostilities, including the 2026 military conflict with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets followed by a fragile June memorandum of understanding that later faced setbacks, continue to block any restoration of full diplomatic ties severed since 1979. The United States maintains no physical embassy in Tehran, relying instead on a Swiss protecting power for limited interests, amid ongoing sanctions, nuclear disputes, proxy tensions, and fresh regional security alerts as of early August 2026. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no reopening this year because embassy establishment requires formal normalization and mutual recognition that remain absent, with only months left in the resolution window. A late breakthrough via sustained negotiations could theoretically shift this, though current conditions show no such trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti riapriranno la loro ambasciata in Iran nel 2026?
Gli Stati Uniti riapriranno la loro ambasciata in Iran nel 2026?
Sì
$155,524 Vol.
$155,524 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$155,524 Vol.
$155,524 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent U.S.-Iran hostilities, including the 2026 military conflict with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets followed by a fragile June memorandum of understanding that later faced setbacks, continue to block any restoration of full diplomatic ties severed since 1979. The United States maintains no physical embassy in Tehran, relying instead on a Swiss protecting power for limited interests, amid ongoing sanctions, nuclear disputes, proxy tensions, and fresh regional security alerts as of early August 2026. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no reopening this year because embassy establishment requires formal normalization and mutual recognition that remain absent, with only months left in the resolution window. A late breakthrough via sustained negotiations could theoretically shift this, though current conditions show no such trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$155,524Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent U.S.-Iran hostilities, including the 2026 military conflict with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets followed by a fragile June memorandum of understanding that later faced setbacks, continue to block any restoration of full diplomatic ties severed since 1979. The United States maintains no physical embassy in Tehran, relying instead on a Swiss protecting power for limited interests, amid ongoing sanctions, nuclear disputes, proxy tensions, and fresh regional security alerts as of early August 2026. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no reopening this year because embassy establishment requires formal normalization and mutual recognition that remain absent, with only months left in the resolution window. A late breakthrough via sustained negotiations could theoretically shift this, though current conditions show no such trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$155,524Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent U.S.-Iran hostilities, including the 2026 military conflict with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets followed by a fragile June memorandum of understanding that later faced setbacks, continue to block any restoration of full diplomatic ties severed since 1979. The United States maintains no physical embassy in Tehran, relying instead on a Swiss protecting power for limited interests, amid ongoing sanctions, nuclear disputes, proxy tensions, and fresh regional security alerts as of early August 2026. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no reopening this year because embassy establishment requires formal normalization and mutual recognition that remain absent, with only months left in the resolution window. A late breakthrough via sustained negotiations could theoretically shift this, though current conditions show no such trajectory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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