Somaliland has emerged as a focal point for Abraham Accords expansion after its U.S. representative stated on April 9 that American recognition would trigger immediate accession, leveraging Israel's January acknowledgment and UAE-brokered alignment for Red Sea security basing. Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry marked the first addition since the originals, setting precedent amid post-Iran war momentum where shared air defenses against missile barrages deepened signatory ties. President Trump's late March urging of Saudi Arabia highlights diplomatic pushes, though Riyadh's normalization remains stalled by domestic opposition and Palestinian demands. Upcoming U.S.-Gulf summits and Lebanon talks could catalyze breakthroughs before 2027 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale paese aderirà agli accordi di Abraham prima del 2027?
Quale paese aderirà agli accordi di Abraham prima del 2027?
$504,515 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Somaliland
37%
Libano
22%
Arabia Saudita
18%
Azerbaigian
18%
Siria
16%
Oman
15%
Kuwait
14%
$504,515 Vol.
Somaliland
$54,250 Vol.
37%
Libano
$54,385 Vol.
22%
Arabia Saudita
$81,356 Vol.
18%
Azerbaigian
$38,802 Vol.
18%
Siria
$141,038 Vol.
16%
Oman
$118,738 Vol.
15%
Kuwait
$15,947 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Somaliland has emerged as a focal point for Abraham Accords expansion after its U.S. representative stated on April 9 that American recognition would trigger immediate accession, leveraging Israel's January acknowledgment and UAE-brokered alignment for Red Sea security basing. Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry marked the first addition since the originals, setting precedent amid post-Iran war momentum where shared air defenses against missile barrages deepened signatory ties. President Trump's late March urging of Saudi Arabia highlights diplomatic pushes, though Riyadh's normalization remains stalled by domestic opposition and Palestinian demands. Upcoming U.S.-Gulf summits and Lebanon talks could catalyze breakthroughs before 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$504,515Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Somaliland has emerged as a focal point for Abraham Accords expansion after its U.S. representative stated on April 9 that American recognition would trigger immediate accession, leveraging Israel's January acknowledgment and UAE-brokered alignment for Red Sea security basing. Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry marked the first addition since the originals, setting precedent amid post-Iran war momentum where shared air defenses against missile barrages deepened signatory ties. President Trump's late March urging of Saudi Arabia highlights diplomatic pushes, though Riyadh's normalization remains stalled by domestic opposition and Palestinian demands. Upcoming U.S.-Gulf summits and Lebanon talks could catalyze breakthroughs before 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$504,515Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Somaliland has emerged as a focal point for Abraham Accords expansion after its U.S. representative stated on April 9 that American recognition would trigger immediate accession, leveraging Israel's January acknowledgment and UAE-brokered alignment for Red Sea security basing. Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry marked the first addition since the originals, setting precedent amid post-Iran war momentum where shared air defenses against missile barrages deepened signatory ties. President Trump's late March urging of Saudi Arabia highlights diplomatic pushes, though Riyadh's normalization remains stalled by domestic opposition and Palestinian demands. Upcoming U.S.-Gulf summits and Lebanon talks could catalyze breakthroughs before 2027 resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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