Islam Makhachev commands 73% implied probability as reigning UFC welterweight champion after dethroning Jack Della Maddalena via wrestling clinic at UFC 322 in November 2025, extending his 16-fight win streak and solidifying P4P #1 status as a two-division titleholder. Recent Dana White confirmations of his first defense at July's International Fight Week against a top contender underscore trader confidence in his dominance through 2026, amid limited activity post-title win. Ian Machado Garry (15%) leads challengers as #2-ranked contender with marketable striking and recent momentum, earning nods from Jon Anik for next shot despite manager hints at bigger matchups. Undefeated Michael Morales (7.5%, #3, 19-0) surged via KO over Sean Brady, calling out Makhachev while offseason weight hints at size edge. Carlos Prates (2.9%) builds via statement knockouts, as veterans Kamaru Usman (2.6%) and faded ex-champ Belal Muhammad (0.5%) trail.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIslam Makhachev 73%
Michael Morales 13%
Ian Machado Garry 8%
Kamaru Usman 3.7%
$35,015 Vol.
$35,015 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
73%
Michael Morales
13%
Ian Machado Garry
15%
Kamaru Usman
4%
Carlos Prates
3%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Jack Della Maddalena
1%
Sean Brady
1%
Belal Muhammad
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Islam Makhachev 73%
Michael Morales 13%
Ian Machado Garry 8%
Kamaru Usman 3.7%
$35,015 Vol.
$35,015 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
73%
Michael Morales
13%
Ian Machado Garry
15%
Kamaru Usman
4%
Carlos Prates
3%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Jack Della Maddalena
1%
Sean Brady
1%
Belal Muhammad
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev commands 73% implied probability as reigning UFC welterweight champion after dethroning Jack Della Maddalena via wrestling clinic at UFC 322 in November 2025, extending his 16-fight win streak and solidifying P4P #1 status as a two-division titleholder. Recent Dana White confirmations of his first defense at July's International Fight Week against a top contender underscore trader confidence in his dominance through 2026, amid limited activity post-title win. Ian Machado Garry (15%) leads challengers as #2-ranked contender with marketable striking and recent momentum, earning nods from Jon Anik for next shot despite manager hints at bigger matchups. Undefeated Michael Morales (7.5%, #3, 19-0) surged via KO over Sean Brady, calling out Makhachev while offseason weight hints at size edge. Carlos Prates (2.9%) builds via statement knockouts, as veterans Kamaru Usman (2.6%) and faded ex-champ Belal Muhammad (0.5%) trail.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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