Islam Makhachev leads trader consensus at 73% implied probability as the reigning UFC welterweight champion after moving up from lightweight and dominating Jack Della Maddalena via finish to claim the title late 2025, cementing his pound-for-pound top status with 11 UFC finishes and multiple prior title wins. His recovery from a minor injury and scheduled first title defense in July at International Fight Week bolsters expectations of sustained dominance through year-end. Ian Machado Garry (13.5%) surged to #2 contender ranking with a statement win over Belal Muhammad, while undefeated Michael Morales (9%) at #3 eyes a summer shot after flawless performances, positioning these prospects as primary threats amid a refreshed division post-2025 shakeups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIslam Makhachev 73%
Michael Morales 9%
Ian Machado Garry 8%
Kamaru Usman 3.7%
$35,009 Vol.
$35,009 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
73%
Michael Morales
9%
Ian Machado Garry
14%
Kamaru Usman
4%
Carlos Prates
3%
Jack Della Maddalena
2%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Sean Brady
1%
Belal Muhammad
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Islam Makhachev 73%
Michael Morales 9%
Ian Machado Garry 8%
Kamaru Usman 3.7%
$35,009 Vol.
$35,009 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
73%
Michael Morales
9%
Ian Machado Garry
14%
Kamaru Usman
4%
Carlos Prates
3%
Jack Della Maddalena
2%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Sean Brady
1%
Belal Muhammad
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev leads trader consensus at 73% implied probability as the reigning UFC welterweight champion after moving up from lightweight and dominating Jack Della Maddalena via finish to claim the title late 2025, cementing his pound-for-pound top status with 11 UFC finishes and multiple prior title wins. His recovery from a minor injury and scheduled first title defense in July at International Fight Week bolsters expectations of sustained dominance through year-end. Ian Machado Garry (13.5%) surged to #2 contender ranking with a statement win over Belal Muhammad, while undefeated Michael Morales (9%) at #3 eyes a summer shot after flawless performances, positioning these prospects as primary threats amid a refreshed division post-2025 shakeups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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