Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured first place in the June 2, 2026, California 12th Congressional District top-two primary with roughly 80-84 percent of the vote, far ahead of challenger Jamie Joyce. Simon's commanding position stems from strong incumbency advantages in a reliably Democratic district, established party endorsements, and limited opposition funding or visibility for Joyce. A negligible Republican write-in candidate drew no meaningful support. Trader consensus at 99.7 percent reflects these verified results across county and state tallies. The only realistic paths to altering the outcome involve unresolved certification disputes or successful legal challenges to vote counts, though the margin makes such shifts highly improbable before official resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWho will place first in the CA-12 primary?
Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?
$1,630 Vol.
$1,630 Vol.
2 giu 2026
Jamie Joyce
No
Lateefah Simon
Yes
$1,630 Vol.
$1,630 Vol.
2 giu 2026
Jamie Joyce
$392 Vol.
No
Lateefah Simon
$1,239 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured first place in the June 2, 2026, California 12th Congressional District top-two primary with roughly 80-84 percent of the vote, far ahead of challenger Jamie Joyce. Simon's commanding position stems from strong incumbency advantages in a reliably Democratic district, established party endorsements, and limited opposition funding or visibility for Joyce. A negligible Republican write-in candidate drew no meaningful support. Trader consensus at 99.7 percent reflects these verified results across county and state tallies. The only realistic paths to altering the outcome involve unresolved certification disputes or successful legal challenges to vote counts, though the margin makes such shifts highly improbable before official resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$1,630Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured first place in the June 2, 2026, California 12th Congressional District top-two primary with roughly 80-84 percent of the vote, far ahead of challenger Jamie Joyce. Simon's commanding position stems from strong incumbency advantages in a reliably Democratic district, established party endorsements, and limited opposition funding or visibility for Joyce. A negligible Republican write-in candidate drew no meaningful support. Trader consensus at 99.7 percent reflects these verified results across county and state tallies. The only realistic paths to altering the outcome involve unresolved certification disputes or successful legal challenges to vote counts, though the margin makes such shifts highly improbable before official resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no election is held by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,630Data di fine
2 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 25, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Incumbent Lateefah Simon secured first place in the June 2, 2026, California 12th Congressional District top-two primary with roughly 80-84 percent of the vote, far ahead of challenger Jamie Joyce. Simon's commanding position stems from strong incumbency advantages in a reliably Democratic district, established party endorsements, and limited opposition funding or visibility for Joyce. A negligible Republican write-in candidate drew no meaningful support. Trader consensus at 99.7 percent reflects these verified results across county and state tallies. The only realistic paths to altering the outcome involve unresolved certification disputes or successful legal challenges to vote counts, though the margin makes such shifts highly improbable before official resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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